PLAYBOOK #13 / 25
CHART PATTERNS
Rising & Falling Wedges: Spotting Reversal Dynamics & Volume Decay
Target Win Rate
65% - 71%
Target RRR
1:2.5 to 1:4.0
Execution Bias
EXHAUSTION REVERSAL
Core Asset
Gold, FX Majors
1. Market Logic: The Slanted Squeeze
Unlike symmetrical triangles, wedges slope in the direction of the prevailing trend while converging:
- Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal): Higher highs and higher lows converging upward. Demonstrates diminishing buyer momentum; once lower support snaps, price plummets rapidly.
- Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal): Lower highs and lower lows converging downward. Demonstrates seller exhaustion; upward break leads to powerful short squeezes.
2. Precision Execution Strategy
Entry: On the close outside the wedge boundary with an expansion in volume.
Stop Loss: 2 ticks beyond the highest peak (Rising Wedge) or lowest trough (Falling Wedge).
Target: The origination point (base) of the wedge structure.
INSTITUTIONAL TRADE SPECIFICATION
Asset: EUR/USD (4-Hour Chart) • Bias: Rising Wedge Breakdown
Entry: 1.0880 • Stop Loss: 1.0925 (45 Pips Risk)
Target 1: 1.0790 (1:2.0 RRR) • Target 2: 1.0700 (1:4.0 RRR)
Entry: 1.0880 • Stop Loss: 1.0925 (45 Pips Risk)
Target 1: 1.0790 (1:2.0 RRR) • Target 2: 1.0700 (1:4.0 RRR)
Target Win Rate
65% - 72%
Target RRR
1:3.0+
Execution Bias
CONFIRMATION