PLAYBOOK #22 / 25
QUANTITATIVE MODELS
EMA Trend Clouds: 9, 21, 50 & 200 EMA Dynamic Support & Trailing Systems
Target Win Rate
65% - 71%
Target RRR
1:2.5 to 1:4.5
Execution Bias
DYNAMIC BOUNCE / TRAIL
Best Indicators
9, 21, 50, 200 EMA
1. The Institutional EMA Stack
- 9 & 21 EMA (Momentum Ribbon): In healthy trending regimes, price rides smoothly between the 9 and 21 EMA without closing across them.
- 50 EMA (Structural Pullback Level): Deep mean-reversion reloads during multi-week bull markets.
- 200 EMA (Macro Regime Divider): Price above 200 EMA = strictly long bias; price below 200 EMA = strictly short bias.
2. Dynamic Trailing Protocol
Once a position hits 2R, lock in 50% profits and trail the remaining stop loss strictly behind the 21-period EMA on the 1-hour timeframe until a candle closes on the opposite side.
INSTITUTIONAL TRADE SPECIFICATION
Asset: NVDA (1-Hour Chart) • Bias: 21 EMA Dynamic Pullback Long
Entry: $126.80 • Stop Loss: $123.50 ($3.30 Risk)
Target 1: $133.40 (1:2.0 RRR) • Target 2: $140.00 (1:4.0 RRR)
Entry: $126.80 • Stop Loss: $123.50 ($3.30 Risk)
Target 1: $133.40 (1:2.0 RRR) • Target 2: $140.00 (1:4.0 RRR)
Target Win Rate
65% - 72%
Target RRR
1:3.0+
Execution Bias
CONFIRMATION