PLAYBOOK #11 / 25
CHART PATTERNS
Ascending, Descending & Symmetrical Triangles: Volatility Compression Breakouts
Target Win Rate
64% - 70%
Target RRR
1:2.5 to 1:3.5
Execution Bias
EXPANSION VOLATILITY
Setup Type
Continuation
1. The Mechanics of Volatility Compression
Triangles represent coil-like market states where volatility contracts sharply as buyers and sellers battle for control:
- Ascending Triangle (Bullish Bias): Flat upper resistance line + rising higher lows. Aggressive buyers absorb sell orders at higher prices until resistance breaks.
- Descending Triangle (Bearish Bias): Flat lower support line + descending lower highs. Sellers press price downward until support collapses.
- Symmetrical Triangle (Bilateral Compression): Converging trendlines indicating equal contraction before an explosive directional resolution.
2. Trading the Breakout & Measured Move
Entry: Wait for a closed candle beyond the horizontal boundary. Do not enter inside the apex chop.
Stop Loss: Positioned behind the most recent swing low within the triangle.
Measured Target: Measure the widest vertical baseline of the triangle and project it from the breakout point.
INSTITUTIONAL TRADE SPECIFICATION
Asset: NVDA (1-Hour Chart) • Bias: Bullish Ascending Breakout
Entry: $124.50 • Stop Loss: $121.20 ($3.30 Risk)
Target 1: $131.10 (1:2.0 RRR) • Target 2: $137.70 (1:4.0 RRR)
Entry: $124.50 • Stop Loss: $121.20 ($3.30 Risk)
Target 1: $131.10 (1:2.0 RRR) • Target 2: $137.70 (1:4.0 RRR)
Target Win Rate
65% - 72%
Target RRR
1:3.0+
Execution Bias
CONFIRMATION