MODULE 03/25 • CANDLESTICK PATTERNS • MULTI-ASSET
The Doji Suite: Trading Market Indecision and Equilibrium Breakdown
TARGET WIN RATE: 60% - 66%
AVERAGE RRR: 1:2.0 to 1:3.0
TIMEFRAMES: 1H, 4H, Daily
EXECUTION BIAS: Equilibrium Breakout
1. Market & Order Flow Logic
A Doji forms when open and close prices are virtually identical. It represents a state of temporary equilibrium where buying and selling pressures cancel each other out.
- Standard Doji: Symmetric wicks indicating complete exhaustion of the preceding directional move.
- Dragonfly Doji: Long lower shadow with open/close at the very high—representing full bullish absorption of intraday supply.
- Gravestone Doji: Long upper shadow with open/close at the very low—representing heavy institutional distribution at the highs.
2. High-Probability Entry Rules
- The Confirmation Candle Rule: Never execute inside the Doji itself. Wait for the subsequent candle to confirm direction.
- Dragonfly: Enter long once the confirmation candle breaks above the Dragonfly high.
- Gravestone: Enter short once the confirmation candle breaks below the Gravestone low.
- Standard Doji: Enter in the direction of the subsequent impulse candle that breaks and closes beyond the Doji's range.
3. Invalidation & Stop Loss Rules
- Dragonfly SL: Place stop loss 2 pips below the extended lower wick.
- Gravestone SL: Place stop loss 2 pips above the extended upper wick.
- Standard Doji SL: Place stop loss on the opposite side of the Doji's total range.
4. Multi-Tiered Take Profit Strategy
- TP1 (50% Volume): 50% retracement of the preceding trend impulse leg.
- TP2 (50% Volume): Origin of the preceding trend leg (target 1:2.5+ RRR).
5. Common Pitfalls & Traps to Avoid
- Bank Holiday Illiquidity: During low-volume sessions, Dojis proliferate purely because nobody is trading. Filter out non-liquid session Dojis.
- Pre-News Event Pauses: Dojis often appear right before US CPI or FOMC statements as participants sit on their hands. Do not front-run macro data.
INSTITUTIONAL DESK PRO TIP: A Gravestone Doji that rejects an equal-high liquidity pool during London session open is one of the highest-win-rate short setups in foreign exchange trading.
Target Win Rate
65% - 72%
Target RRR
1:3.0+
Execution Bias
CONFIRMATION